Arizona 2026 Election & Infrastructure Intelligence

# Arizona 2026 Election and Infrastructure Overview ## Status Arizona held its primary on July 21, 2026. The statewide canvass is scheduled for August 6. The general election is November 3, 2026. ## Praevoium overview Arizona is one of the most consequential infrastructure-policy states in the 2026 cycle. The state combines rapid population growth, semiconductor expansion, hyperscale data-center demand, major water constraints, large electric-load growth, advanced nuclear interest, solar and storage deployment, tribal and federal land issues, and an increasingly competitive political environment. The 2026 state budget imposed a three-year pause on new data-center tax credits through 2029. Governor Katie Hobbs presents the policy as protection for ratepayers, water resources, and public finances. The state simultaneously continues work on advanced nuclear, geothermal, transmission corridors, and responsible frameworks for large energy users. ## Highest-impact contests 1. Governor: Katie Hobbs versus Andy Biggs. This race could change the executive approach to data-center incentives, water protection, energy planning, regulation, permitting, and state economic-development strategy. 2. AZ-01: Amish Shah versus Jay Feely. Open, toss-up district containing northeast Phoenix and Scottsdale, with direct relevance to high-growth infrastructure, technology, housing, and utility pressures. 3. AZ-06: Juan Ciscomani versus JoAnna Mendoza. Toss-up district spanning southern Arizona, with border infrastructure, defense, mining, water, transmission, and data-center siting implications. 4. AZ-05: Mark Lamb versus Elizabeth Lee. Open seat in a solid Republican district that includes fast-growing East Valley communities and major compute, semiconductor, utility, and water pressures. ## Congressional landscape Cook Political Report ratings on the checkpoint date identify AZ-01 and AZ-06 as Toss Ups; AZ-02 as Likely Republican; and the remaining districts as Solid for the incumben

Candidate	Office	Posture	Confidence	Evidence summary
Katie Hobbs	Governor Statewide	**Pause**	High	Three-year pause on new data-center tax credits; responsible large-load framewor
Andy Biggs	Governor Statewide	**Enable**	Medium	No detailed statewide data-center framework verified; broad deregulatory and ene
Amish Shah	U.S. House 1	**Unverified**	Low	No comprehensive verified position / Unknown
Jay Feely	U.S. House 1	**Enable**	Low	No comprehensive verified position / Provisional Enable
Jonathan Nez	U.S. House 2	**Conditional**	Low	No comprehensive verified position / Conditional / community infrastructure
Eli Crane	U.S. House 2	**Enable**	Low	No comprehensive verified position / Enable conventional energy / resources
Yassamin Ansari	U.S. House 3	**Conditional**	Medium	Direct 2026 position pending / Conditional based on climate water and ratepayers
Greg Stanton	U.S. House 4	**Conditional**	Medium	Supports technology growth with infrastructure investment; direct 2026 condition
Mark Lamb	U.S. House 5	**Enable**	Low	No comprehensive verified position / Provisional Enable
Elizabeth Lee	U.S. House 5	**Unverified**	Low	No comprehensive verified position / Unknown
Juan Ciscomani	U.S. House 6	**Enable**	Low	No comprehensive verified position / Enable with project-specific review
JoAnna Mendoza	U.S. House 6	**Unverified**	Low	No comprehensive verified position / Unknown

Race	Status	Candidates	Impact	Key issue
Governor	See research	See candidate dossiers	Medium	Infrastructure and policy impact
AZ-01	See research	See candidate dossiers	Medium	Infrastructure and policy impact
AZ-02	See research	See candidate dossiers	Medium	Infrastructure and policy impact
AZ-03	See research	See candidate dossiers	Medium	Infrastructure and policy impact
AZ-04	See research	See candidate dossiers	Medium	Infrastructure and policy impact
AZ-05	See research	See candidate dossiers	Medium	Infrastructure and policy impact
AZ-06	See research	See candidate dossiers	Medium	Infrastructure and policy impact
AZ-07	See research	See candidate dossiers	Medium	Infrastructure and policy impact
AZ-08	See research	See candidate dossiers	Medium	Infrastructure and policy impact
AZ-09	See research	See candidate dossiers	Medium	Infrastructure and policy impact

# Arizona 2026 Race and Candidate Dossiers ## Governor ### Katie Hobbs, Democrat, incumbent Alignment: center-left executive; ratepayer and water-protection emphasis; supportive of advanced energy and economic development with stronger conditions for large loads. AI/data centers: supports a three-year pause on new data-center tax credits and a responsible large-load framework; not a blanket ban on facilities. Backing: Democratic Party organizations, labor and environmental constituencies, incumbent network. Detailed donor-sector refresh required from campaign-finance filings. Infrastructure posture: Condition / Enable with safeguards. Evidence confidence: High. ### Andy Biggs, Republican, nominee Alignment: hard-right, Trump-aligned, former House Freedom Caucus chair. AI/data centers: no equally specific statewide data-center framework located by checkpoint; generally favors deregulation, lower taxes, energy development, and reduced executive restrictions. Project-level and incentive positions require direct confirmation. Backing: Donald Trump; Turning Point Action; conservative movement organizations. Infrastructure posture: Likely Enable / Accelerate, but data-center classification remains partly inferred. Evidence confidence: Medium on general posture, Low on project-specific data-center policy. ## AZ-01 ### Amish Shah, Democrat Former state legislator and emergency physician. Grassroots-oriented campaign; defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the primary. AI/data centers: no verified comprehensive position found by checkpoint. Infrastructure posture: Mixed / Unknown pending direct platform evidence. Backing: local and grassroots Democratic support; national party support after nomination. ### Jay Feely, Republican Former NFL player and broadcaster; Trump-endorsed. AI/data centers: no verified comprehensive position found by checkpoint. Infrastructure posture: likely pro-growth and deregulatory, but classification is provisional. Backing: Donald Trump and national Republican network. ## AZ-02 ### Eli Crane, Republican incumbent Conservative House member. District includes large rural, tribal, energy, mining, forest, and federal-land interests. AI/data centers: no district-specific comprehensive position found. Infrastructure posture: Enable conventional energy and resource development; limited verified data-center record. ### Jonathan Nez, Democrat Former Navajo Nation president. Emphasis expected on tribal infrastructure, broadband, water, health, and rural investment. AI/data centers: no comprehensive position found. ## AZ-03 ### Yassamin Ansari, Democrat incumbent Urban Phoenix district. Climate and clean-energy aligned. AI/data centers: likely conditional based on climate, water, and ratepayer impacts; direct 2026 position still needed. ### Nicholas Glenn, Republican write-in Limited verified public policy record. Mark as unknown. ## AZ-04 ### Greg Stanton, Democrat incumbent Former Phoenix mayor; strong urban infrastructure and tra